FK Ryazan vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
10º
9º
27
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 63 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 57 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 57 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
5º
|
68% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 38 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 33 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 30 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 16 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Ryazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ZVE
34%
24%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KPP
2 - 1
ZVE
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FYK
1 - 3
ZVE
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZVE
6 - 0
KOL
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
FKK
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
ARS
30%
21%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 2
SAK
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 8
ARS
16%
18%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
KOL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |