Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Zrinjski Mostar vs FC Urartu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
ZRI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
POS
77%
15%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 3
ZRI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 0
ZRI
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
ZRI
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC Urartu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
ZRI
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
ARA
53%
26%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 1
BAN
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 2
BAN
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
BKM
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |