Zrinjski Mostar vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 2
ZRI
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ZBE
2 - 1
ZRI
10%
22%
67%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZRI
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 5
ZRI
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SIR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 100 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
ASV
22%
25%
53%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
WAR
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
52%
24%
24%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |