Zira FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
56
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 0
ZIR
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 0
FKQ
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FKQ
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SFK
0 - 1
ZIR
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FCK
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 4
QAR
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FKN
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |