Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 5
SHA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
LPO
2 - 0
ZHE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 1
FCA
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 2
ZHE
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 0
ZHE
27%
28%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
LPO
2 - 0
ZHE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
WLO
0 - 0
LPO
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
POD
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 1
LPO
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |