Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
12º
11º
52
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 1
FCA
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 0
MLA
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
ZHE
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZHE
4 - 1
FSB
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
KAI
0 - 0
ZHE
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
ORD
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
KHI
0 - 3
AST
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
AST
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 3
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |