Zenit II vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
4º
16
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 70 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
1º
|
31 | 64 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 57 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 52 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 44 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 41 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 41 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 34 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 21 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 2
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZEN
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TVE
2 - 3
ZEN
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 0
KHI
58%
19%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ZEN
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RKZ
0 - 5
SAT
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
1 - 2
ARS
11%
18%
71%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
0 - 0
FKK
38%
21%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
SAT
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAT
2 - 3
FBK
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |