Ypiranga AP vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
YAP
1 - 1
ORC
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 1
YAP
61%
19%
19%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ECM
2 - 2
YAP
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
YAP
3 - 4
SPM
49%
26%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ORC
5 - 2
YAP
36%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 4
ECM
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SEC
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 3
ORC
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
TDC
2 - 2
SEC
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ECM
3 - 4
SEC
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |