AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
FCY
29%
24%
48%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCY
2 - 2
SHO
65%
20%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FCY
2 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 2
FCY
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FCY
0 - 0
KAW
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
FCY
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
4 - 0
GAN
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ULS
3 - 0
SUW
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 0
ULS
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 2
ULS
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |