Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 3-1
XV de Piracicaba vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
0 - 1
VOT
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VOT
0 - 1
XVD
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
XVD
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
XVD
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
MIR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 3
RIO
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |