Paulista A2 Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
XV de Piracicaba vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
XVD
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 3
RIO
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
5 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
XVD
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |