XV de Piracicaba vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAO
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
XVD
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
XVD
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 1
OES
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 2
LIN
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 1
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
OES
3 - 2
CAP
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
CAP
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
TAU
66%
19%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |