Xilvar vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 1
ATL
31%
23%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
XIL
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
XIL
0 - 0
UDA
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
XIL
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 2
CAR
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
PET
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
STA
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
ESP
31%
25%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |