Xilvar vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 3
XIL
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
XIL
2 - 2
SAM
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 1
XIL
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SVE
4 - 1
XIL
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
XIL
2 - 2
SPO
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
34%
26%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 3
MUR
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDS
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |