Wuhan Three Towns vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
16º
9º
30
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 1
BEI
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
WFC
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
WFC
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 1
WFC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
WFC
1 - 1
POH
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 2
SHI
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
CBC
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
BEI
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
6 - 1
SHI
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |