Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
1º
29
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsberger AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 2
WOL
17%
23%
61%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 2
HAR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 3
WOL
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 0
WOL
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 2
RIE
43%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RIE
4 - 4
SCA
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
SCA
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 3
WOL
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 0
ALT
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |