Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
51%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
50
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
3 - 0
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 5
YOB
12%
19%
69%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 7
WIN
6%
13%
82%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 4
FCL
5%
12%
83%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |