Winterthur vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
12º
5º
65
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 6
WIN
6%
12%
82%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 1
WIN
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 1
STG
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 2
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
LUG
22%
23%
56%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 2
YOB
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
YOB
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
YOB
1 - 3
MAC
3%
12%
86%
|
85 | 100 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
YOB
0 - 0
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
YOB
3 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |