Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
AZA
3 - 2
WIL
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
59%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
30%
23%
48%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
TWE
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 0
VOL
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 0
SCH
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRO
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
78%
14%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +2 |