Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 0
HER
49%
24%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 0
ZWO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
GAE
1 - 4
UTR
14%
19%
67%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 1
UTR
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
UTR
4 - 0
ADO
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 2
UTR
9%
14%
77%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ZWO
3 - 3
UTR
16%
21%
63%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |