Western United FC vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
9º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 3
WUF
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
WUF
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
WUF
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
WUF
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
CCM
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
MFC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WES
2 - 0
CCM
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
WPH
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |