Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
6 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
M05
3 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 5
BRE
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 0
HEI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 1
HSV
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
SGF
0 - 0
HEI
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
HEI
4 - 1
SSV
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
HAN
2 - 1
HEI
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |