Watford vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 4
WAT
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 3
ARS
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
CHL
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAT
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 0
MUD
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
30%
26%
45%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HUL
0 - 1
MUD
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
MUD
2 - 0
SOU
53%
26%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 3
MUD
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |