Watford vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
CHL
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
WAT
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
QPR
2 - 0
WAT
24%
24%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 0
ANZ
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SCU
5 - 0
GIL
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 1
SWI
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GIL
2 - 1
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
GIL
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
GIL
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |