Vitória vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SDJ
3 - 1
VIT
11%
21%
67%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 4
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
JAC
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
COR
85%
12%
3%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAU
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |