Vitória vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
ABC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
JAC
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
3 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
NAU
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
FPI
69%
17%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AFO
0 - 1
NAU
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
CRB
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |