Vitória vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
25.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
ABC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FFL
5 - 1
VIT
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAY
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 1
BRA
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 0
FFL
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FFL
5 - 1
VIT
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 1
FFL
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |