Vitória vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
0 - 0
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 2
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 2
SDJ
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
BOT
10%
19%
72%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
JEC
49%
23%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADA
1 - 2
ALA
15%
18%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 2
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |