Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 4
GFC
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 0
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOA
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
TON
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
SCP
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TON
1 - 0
GFC
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
4 - 2
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |