Vitória Guimarães vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 0
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ESA
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
ARO
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
GFC
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 0
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
GFC
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
ESA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 1
AMA
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |