Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
VIT
27%
27%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VST
1 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FCP
5 - 0
EST
73%
17%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
EST
3 - 3
PEN
71%
20%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |