Vitória Guimarães vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
VIZ
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 2
FAM
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 3
BOA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ESA
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACV
2 - 1
BEL
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |