Vitória Guimarães vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VIZ
3 - 2
VIT
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 3
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 2
FCP
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 0
ARO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
ARO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLB
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |