Vitória ES vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 2
PIN
16%
21%
62%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
0 - 0
COL
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
10%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
21%
23%
57%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 5
BAH
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 0
MDE
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
67%
19%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |