Vitória da Conquista vs Porto BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1357%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
VIT
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
FLU
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 0
VIT
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Porto BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PBA
2 - 1
FEI
12%
16%
72%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
PBA
64%
21%
15%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
PBA
1 - 1
GRA
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SSA
0 - 0
PBA
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |