Virtus Francavilla vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
FRA
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 3
FRA
67%
21%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
AKR
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
USF
5 - 1
FRA
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
USV
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
SIR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 2
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |