Serie B Playout Final
Global 0-0
Virtus Entella vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
ACD
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ACD
0 - 1
FRO
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
ACD
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACD
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PES
0 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 1
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 2
PRG
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |