Villegas vs SD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
83.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.9%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 6
NAX
6%
13%
81%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANG
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
37%
24%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 5
ARN
6%
14%
81%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SDL
3 - 0
ARN
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
SDL
9%
16%
75%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SDL
2 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
OYO
0 - 0
SDL
9%
16%
75%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 0
VAR
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |