Villarrubia CF vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VRU
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 0
VRU
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VRU
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 2
VRU
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VRU
2 - 2
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
5 - 1
CDT
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UBC
2 - 0
ILL
32%
26%
43%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ILL
3 - 0
LSO
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
ILL
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 0
CSP
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |