Champions League Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Villarreal vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
69.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
VCF
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GET
1 - 2
VIL
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
6%
14%
80%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
EVE
77%
15%
8%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
4 - 0
MUD
61%
21%
18%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 3
LIV
52%
22%
27%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |