Villarreal vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
ELC
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GET
0 - 0
VIL
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
HKS
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 0
WLO
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
GDA
0 - 3
LPO
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
PGL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
F91
1 - 1
LPO
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
LPO
2 - 0
F91
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |