Conference League Last 16
Global 1-2
Villarreal vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BET
47%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AND
1 - 1
VIL
16%
21%
62%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
GET
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MLL
4 - 2
VIL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AND
2 - 0
CER
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AND
1 - 1
VIL
16%
21%
62%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
AND
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 2
SDL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
LUD
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |