Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
SCP
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
SEV
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
SCP
0 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
VAD
0 - 0
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 0
CEL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BET
1 - 1
ALA
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 0
LEV
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |