Villafranca vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
JER
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
VIL
16%
22%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
5 - 0
CFJ
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 2
VIL
36%
28%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
DBN
27%
27%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
CDA
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 1
LAP
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
XER
0 - 0
CDA
63%
23%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UDT
1 - 0
CDA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 1
UDT
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |