Villa Nova vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
AMF
12%
22%
67%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 2
IFC
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
IFC
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
0 - 1
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 2
IFC
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |