Villa Nova vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 1
ATH
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
DEM
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
TOM
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |