Mineiro 1 Troféu Inconfidência Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Villa Nova vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAT
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 1
VIL
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 2
VIL
82%
13%
4%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 2
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
URT
1 - 2
DEM
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
0 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
74%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEM
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |