Villa Nova vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.3%
76.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOM
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
URT
2 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 3
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
21%
68%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
48%
22%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 1
CRZ
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 1
ATM
12%
21%
68%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
ATM
9%
19%
73%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAU
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 2
CAL
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | -1 |