Villa Nova vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
IFC
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRZ
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATH
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |