Villa Nova vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
68.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
48%
22%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
84%
14%
3%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CRZ
1 - 1
AMF
59%
26%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
7%
18%
75%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AMF
3 - 0
UBE
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 1
AMF
6%
13%
81%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CAL
82%
14%
4%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |